The week starts without major releases. German industrial production and Swiss retail sales will stand out. Note that the weak, yet expected Non-Farm Payrolls will still echo in the markets. The dollar enjoyed some strength against the majors last week but lost ground to the commodity currencies.
OK, let’s see the events:
Japan starts the day with a few figures: Current Account rose to a surplus of 899.8 billion yens in January as exports surge 40.6%. The Economy Watchers Sentiment climbed to 42.1 points — a five-month high.
In Switzerland, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. The more important release is Retail Sales – after a leap of 4.7%, a strong rise of 2.4% is expected this time.
In Europe, the Sentix Investor Confidence ticked up from -8.2 to -7.48, still in the negative zone, showing pessimism. German Industrial Production rose 0.6% after sliding by 2.6% last month. This event usually rocks the Euro. For more on the Euro’s week, read the EUR/USD forecast. I also recommend catching up with Casey Stubbs’ analyses.
In Britain, MPC member Kate Barker spoke in a conference. Barker is about to step down from position soon, so she feels more free to speak. The Pound has seen better days than these. For the events and a technical analysis, check out GBP/USD forecast.
For those of you trading the loonie, an important indicator is due today: Housing Starts rose more than expected to 196,700K. Will USD/CAD continue towards parity? There are technical barriers on the way. Check out the USD/CAD forecast for more.
That’s it for today. Happy forex trading!



