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InvestorGuide Daily Newsletter Daily Newsletter — 10/29/2009
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Market Analysis Earnings Upgrades/Downgrades

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If you want to know what was dominating the markets today, read on:

Stocks Rally on GDP Report

Stocks rallied Thursday in a broad-based advance after a strong report on GDP gave investors the encouragement they've been searching for. Gains were broad based, with 28 of 30 Dow issues rising. Five stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. All three major indices surged higher following reports that GDP grew 3.5% in the third quarter. That was better than the 3.2% rate economists were expecting. A separate government report showed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment fell to 530,000 last week from 531,000 the previous week. In earnings news, Motorola (MOT) and Procter & Gamble (PG) both reported better-than-expected profit. However, Nintendo and Exxon Mobil (XOM) reported large drops in quarterly earnings. U.S. light crude oil for December delivery recovered from Wednesday's downturn, rising $2.66 to $80.12 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Bond prices fell, pushing their yields higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.50 percent from 3.42 percent.

Straight from the Street

Exxon Mobil (XOM), known for its record profits, said lower commodity prices weighed on sales and profits during the third quarter. The energy giant experienced a 68 percent drop in earnings per share during the third quarter. Production levels during 2009 have basically remained unchanged from 2008 levels.

Exxon's Delicate Condition

The US economy returned to growth in the third quarter after a yearlong contraction. The Commerce Department says GDP grew at an annual rate of 3.5 percent last quarter.

America's Potemkin Economy

The economy has finally made a turnaround, but what about jobs? Will the employment recession last another three years ?

Video -- GDP: End Of The Recession ?

Nintendo's cash cow, the popular Wii gaming console, wasn't able to save profit from declining during the last quarter. The company's profit fell 52% year-over-year due in a large part to a decline in Wii sales.

Why is the Wii wilting?

Sprint (S) is spending a lot of time and money trying to attract new customers. Maybe this is because they are continuing to lose subscribers at a record pace. The nation's third-largest wireless carrier watched 545,000 net wireless customers disappear during the third quarter. The company also reported a Q3 loss totaling $478 million , which came in lower than expectations.

Procter & Gamble Co. (PG), the world's largest consumer-products company, said first-quarter profit fell less than analysts estimated after price increases helped counter volume declines.

Rates for 30-year home loans are still on the rise. Freddie Mac's (FRE) weekly survey of mortgage rates showed that long-term mortgage rates climbed to 5.03 percent this week.

Is the Home Tax Credit Coming to an End? Not if the Obama administration can stop it. The President's camp endorsed a plan to extend an $8000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers because they believe it is helping stabilize the housing market.

 

Other Juicy Tidbits

Free chapter from William Bernstein's new book "The Investors Manifesto: Preparing For Prosperity, Armageddon, & Everything In Between"

Video -- Google's Eric Schmidt on What the Web Will Look Like in 5 Years

The GDP Mirage -- By overlooking cuts in research and development, product design, and worker training, GDP is greatly overstating the economy's strength.

The economy isn't fixed yet, say Wall Streeters

Verizon: Who Needs the iPhone ? -- To stay ahead of AT&T and Apple, Verizon is placing a big bet on Android smartphones and other new gadgets.


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On This Date
October 29, 1929: Black Tuesday. One of the worst days in stock market history, the herald of the Great Depression. The Dow Jones Industrial Average drops 12% and investors drop 12 stories. In less than a month from mid-October to mid-November, $30 billion of the market's $80 billion capitalization disappears.

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Previous Newsletters
October 28, 2009
October 27, 2009
October 26, 2009
October 23, 2009
October 22, 2009
Today's Reported Earnings
Company (Symbol) Reported Expected Last Year
Harman International Industries (HAR) -0.05 -0.23 0.51
Human Genome Sciences (HGSI) -0.32 -0.31 -0.5
KLA-Tencor (KLAC) 0.15 0.02 0.32
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 0.03 -0.01 0.02
Manitowoc Company (MTW) -0.04 0.08 0.8
Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM) 0.13 0.12 0.21
MetLife (MET) 0.87 0.87 0.88
PerkinElmer (PKI) 0.3 0.27 0.38
Potomac Electric Power Company (POM) 0.44 0.42 0.59
Powerwave Technologies (PWAV) 0.02 0
RealNetworks (RNWK) 0.01 -0.06 -0.03
Regal Entertainment Group (RGC) 0.05 0.07 0.21
Varian Medical Systems (VAR) 0.78 0.74 0.68
Varian Semiconductor Equipment Associates (VSEA) 0.1 0.05 0.03
View more earnings releases by date or by company here

Tomorrow's Expected Earnings
Company (Symbol) Expected Last Year
Ameren (AEE) 1.03 1.17
Aon (AOC) 0.66 0.69
Arch Coal (ACI) 0.04 0.68
CMS Energy (CMS) 0.34 0.34
Commercial Metals Company (CMC) 0.01 0.55
Constellation Energy Group (CEG) 1.07 0.76
Cummins (CMI) 0.37 1.17
Dominion Resources (D) 0.9 0.94
Duke Energy (DUK) 0.38 0.33
Estee Lauder Companies (EL) 0.34 0.26
ITT Industries (ITT) 0.9 1.11
MDU RES GROUP (MDU) 0.43 0.64
Northern Indiana Public Service Company (NI) -0.01 0.03
NYSE Group (NYX) 0.46 0.72
PROGRESS ENERGY (PGN) 1.19 1.17
Simon Property Group (SPG) 1.33 1.61
Sony (SNE) -0.37 19.83
TECO Energy (TE) 0.36 0.28
Ultra Petroleum (UPL) 0.52 0.78
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) -0.45 -0.01

Top Analyst Upgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Ashland Inc. Susquehanna Positive
Aetna JPMorgan Overweight
Panera Bread Raymond James Outperform
Valmont Industries Sidoti & Co Buy
Meridien Bioscience Sidoti & Co Buy
Fuel Systems Sidoti & Co Buy
Pennsylvania REIT Stifel Nicolaus Hold
Ramco-Gershenson Stifel Nicolaus Buy
Ashland (NYSE: ASH) and Owens Corning Longbow Research Buy
MeadWestvaco Sterne Agee Buy
Rock-Tenn Sterne Agee Neutral
Anglo American Morgan Stanley Overweight
Nexen Morgan Stanley Equalweight
ING Group Morgan Stanley Equalweight
Broadpoint Gleacher Securities Group Bank of America Buy
Tomkins Bank of America Buy
ArcelorMittal Societe Generale Buy
Urban Outfitters Thomas Weisel Overweight
Interpublic Group BMO Capital Outperform
Manitowoc BMO Capital Outperform
ViroPharma ThinkEquity Buy
Public Service Enterprise Group Citi Hold
Enterprise Products Partners Citi Buy
Sierra Wireless Jefferies & Co Hold
Top Analyst Downgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Psychiatric Solutions Raymond James Market Perform
K-Sea Transportation Partners Raymond James Underperform
Portland General Electric Barclays Equalweight
RenaissanceRe Fox-Pitt In-Line
First Solar Caris & Co. Above Average
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals RBC Sector Perform
Elan UBS Neutral
Sims Metal Management Canaccord Adams Hold
RenaissanceRe Holdings RBC Sector Perform
K-Sea Transportation Partners Citi Sell
Cytokinetics Inc. Needham & Co Hold
Online Resources Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral
Pharmaceutical Product Development Wells Fargo Market Perform
First Solar Wedbush Neutral
L-1 Identity Solutions Needham & Co Hold
Goodyear Tire Bank of America Underperform
Agnico-Eagle Mines Credit Suisse Neutral

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